…Indonesia, why there’s no recession in the world’s leading economy…

Artikel menarik yang ditulis oleh Terry Lacey ini saya baca beberapa hari yang lalu di salah satu media cetak Jakarta. Berikut cuplikan beritanya :

Indonesia can play a key role in leading the Muslim world toward economic recovery, and help minimize the impact of global recession.

First, by managing its national economy to maintain growth, demand, imports and exports. The nominal Gross Domestic Product for 2009 is projected at $547 billion. Indonesia is already in the top 20 economies of the world.

Indonesia is currently overtaking Belgium and Sweden. It will soon overtake Turkey, the Netherlands and Austria as it enormous size, resources and population come into play. It is a strong candidate to join the top 10 economies in the world within two decades.

Second, by mobilizing investment for oil, gas, energy projects, biofuels, infrastructure (roads, railways, ports), manufacturing and retailing sectors. It needs over $40 billion for electricity alone, to finance an additional 40,000 MWe of power by 2025. Indonesia will become a nuclear power, and plans four power stations. Total foreign investment needed overall during the next 15 years exceeds $100 billion.

Investment is still coming from the US and EU (including Eastern Europe) but increasingly from the BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India and China), and also from Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation countries like Canada, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and from Association of Southeast Asian Nations member states (including Brunei, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand). Investment is also coming in greater volume from the Gulf Arab states, Israel and South Africa.

Third, Indonesia can help lead Muslim economies by using its economic size and prestige as a member of the United Nations Security Council to join Brazil, Russia, India, China and Southern countries to bring about changes in policies and in the balance of power in world organizations dealing with trade, finance and development, especially the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Trade Organization (WTO). 

Indonesia has major reservations about the IMF following its own experience in 1998. German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck said that the world should not slip into creating a shadow world economic government run by an inner IMF council. Indonesia is also tired of being kept on the fringes in the WTO.

Ya, bagi saya yang merupakan orang awam alias buta soal perekonomian negara kita, berita ini sedikit membuat saya menjadi optimis. Saya jadi sedikit berpikir mengenai isu-isu yang mengatakan bahwa sektor properti bakal lesu di tahun depan mungkin dikarenakan investor asing sedikit takut untuk menanamkan sahamnya. Toh, kalau diamati lebih lanjut, para investor asing tersebut tidak mengalami ‘ketakutan’ menanamkan sahamnya di Indonesia saja, tapi di negara-negara Eropa, Asia lainnya, atau Amerika juga.

Selain itu, menurut beberapa cerita yang saya dapat dari teman-teman saya yang bekerja di luar P.Jawa, saat ini proses pembangunan di beberapa pulau di luar Jawa sedang mengalami pertumbuhan yang cukup signifikan. Kalimantan, misalnya, pembangunan infrastruktur dan kota di sana sedang pesat-pesatnya sekarang ini. Begitu juga dengan Kepulauan Riau. Nah, jadi kalau dapet proyek atau assignment disana, mungkin bisa menjadi tawaran dengan prospek yang menarik, walaupun harus menjadi Dora the explorer sesaat, karena lahan proyeknya ada di tengah2 hutan.

Mungkin sebaiknya kita tidak terlalu skeptis terhadap kinerja pemerintah kita, karena kalau diamati, sebenarnya kondisi perekonomian di negara kita sedikit lebih baik dari kondisi perekonomian negara-negara tetangga kita. Jadi, nyok kita rame-rame mencintai produk dalam negeri. Lho? :)

~ by Rangga Praduwiratna on December 17, 2008.

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